Iran

Old Maps, New Wars: Why the Hormuz Wargames Were Right Then — and Dead Wrong Now

A defense industry veteran told me the Strait of Hormuz was a guaranteed nuclear flashpoint. His wargames said so. Two decades of classified modeling backed it up. He's probably right about 2005. What he hasn't updated is the board. And the board has moved.

American Foreign Policy

The Isolationist Case Against American Superpower Ignores Two Realities: The Enemy's Own Words and the Vacuum We'd Leave

The blowback theory assumed the enemy was reacting to what we did. It never asked what happens when they're acting on what they believe — and have been telling us so for 45 years.